Forecasting Political and Economic Events

Track How Expectations Change Around Political and Economic Events

Elections, policy decisions, economic releases, and other public events create expectations long before the final outcome is known.

FinFeedAPI Prediction Markets API provides access to market listings and metadata, latest and historical trades and quotes, OHLCV candles, current order-book snapshots, historical order-book updates where supported, and historical market records through REST, JSON-RPC, and MCP. Forecasting teams can use this data to study how market prices and market-derived expectation signals change as events develop.

The Forecast Changes Before the Outcome Does

A forecast is rarely static.

New polling, economic data, policy announcements, debates, court decisions, campaign developments, or other public information can change expectations before an event resolves.

The difficult part is building a consistent history of those changing expectations across prediction markets.

Biggest Pain Points

Expectations move between formal forecast updates

Polls, research notes, and economic forecasts may be published on different schedules.

Prediction-market data is fragmented across venues

Different platforms use different identifiers, market structures, outcomes, and data formats.

The latest market price lacks historical context

A current price means more when you can see how that market traded previously.

Similar contracts may not be directly comparable

Resolution rules, wording, liquidity, available outcomes, and venue mechanics can differ.

A price move does not explain itself

Researchers still need to investigate trades, quotes, liquidity, timing, contract design, and external information around the move.

The question is not just “What is the market price?”

Ask How the Market Got There

Imagine a political or economic contract is currently trading at a particular price.

The useful forecasting questions go further:

Starting pointWhere was the market trading a week or month earlier?
DirectionHas the price moved steadily or changed abruptly?
Turning pointsWhen did the largest historical repricing occur?
Venue comparisonDo comparable contracts on supported platforms show similar market-derived expectation signals?
LiquidityWhat does the current order book show around the market price, where supported?
Trades and quotesWhat activity occurred around a significant price movement?
Contract definitionAre the resolution criteria and outcome definitions actually comparable?

Prediction-market prices provide market-based observations, not certainty.

Where contract structure allows, prices can be interpreted as implied expectation signals. Researchers remain responsible for understanding contract rules, liquidity, market structure, selection effects, and how prediction-market data should be combined with polls, economic models, or other evidence.

How Does FinFeedAPI Solve It?

Discover Relevant Prediction Markets

FinFeedAPI provides structured market records across supported prediction-market venues. Researchers can work with standardized fields such as market identifiers, titles, descriptions, outcomes, prices, status, exchange identifiers, and outcome types rather than building a separate integration for each venue.

Track Market Prices Over Time

Historical OHLCV data provides time-series views of market prices across available periods. This makes it possible to study trends, reversals, and historical repricing around political or economic events.

Compare Supported Venues Through One Interface

FinFeedAPI normalizes prediction-market data from supported platforms through one API layer.

Forecasting teams can build cross-venue research workflows without maintaining completely separate integrations for every supported platform.

Comparable-looking markets still need to be checked for differences in wording, outcomes, resolution criteria, liquidity, and market structure.

Examine Current Market Depth

Current order-book snapshots provide bids and asks where supported. Researchers can use this information to inspect current spread, available depth, and liquidity conditions rather than interpreting the latest market price in isolation.

Add Trade and Quote Context

Activity resources provide latest, recent, and historical trade and quote data where supported. This gives researchers additional market context around price movements without implying anything about individual participants or their motivations.

Use Prediction Markets as a Time-Varying Forecasting Signal

Election Expectation Tracking

Follow supported election-related contracts across time and use OHLCV data to study how market prices changed before resolution.

Researchers can compare these movements with selected public events without treating market prices as guaranteed predictions.

Policy Decision Monitoring

Track supported contracts related to future policy outcomes and identify periods when market prices materially repriced. The research workflow can then investigate what external information was available around those periods.

Economic Outcome Research

Use supported markets related to economic events or outcomes as another signal alongside conventional macroeconomic indicators and forecasts.

Prediction-market observations can complement rather than replace other forecasting inputs.

Cross-Venue Comparison

Identify comparable markets across supported platforms and compare their prices or historical trajectories.

Before combining them, verify contract wording, resolution criteria, outcome structure, liquidity, and market status.

Turning-Point Analysis

Use historical OHLCV to identify significant price moves or changes in direction. Historical trades and quotes, where supported, can then provide additional context around those periods.

Forecast Dashboard Inputs

Use structured latest and historical data to build internal dashboards showing selected prediction markets, price history, trades and quotes, current depth where supported, and market status.

Because FinFeedAPI does not provide Prediction Markets WebSocket streaming, current-data dashboards should use an appropriate polling workflow.

Match the Prediction-Market Data to the Forecasting Question

Prediction Markets CapabilityForecasting ApplicationExample
Market Listings & MetadataMarket discoveryIdentify supported contracts related to an election, policy decision, or economic event
Latest Market DataCurrent expectation signalRetrieve the latest market price or price-based implied expectation where applicable
Historical OHLCVPrice-history analysisStudy how market prices evolved across available periods
Trades & QuotesMarket-movement contextExamine latest, recent, or historical activity where supported
Current Order BookLiquidity contextInspect bids, asks, spread, and available depth where supported
Historical Order-Book UpdatesHistorical liquidity researchStudy changes in order-book conditions where supported
Historical Market RecordsEvent researchRetrieve historical market metadata and context for supported markets
REST / JSON-RPC / MCPForecasting applicationsConnect supported prediction-market data to research, models, dashboards, and AI workflows

Prediction-market prices should be treated as market-derived signals. FinFeedAPI does not determine whether a market price is an accurate forecast or how much weight it should receive relative to another forecasting source.

From Fragmented Market Data to Structured Expectation Tracking

Forecasting WorkflowBeforeAfter With Prediction Markets API
Market discoveryResearchers browse prediction platforms separatelySupported markets can be discovered through a normalized API layer
Price historyHistorical market movements are difficult to collect consistentlyOHLCV provides structured historical price series
Venue comparisonEach platform requires separate integration and parsingSupported venues can be accessed through a common interface
Current market contextLatest price may be viewed without liquidity informationCurrent order-book snapshots add bids, asks, spread, and depth where supported
Activity analysisPrice movements may be studied without trade and quote contextLatest, recent, and historical trades and quotes add context where supported
Contract researchMarket identifiers and metadata differ by platformNormalized fields simplify downstream research workflows
Forecasting modelsPrediction-market data requires custom collection and normalizationStructured data can feed forecasting and analytical pipelines
Current monitoringTeams may expect unsupported streaming accessCurrent resources can be polled through supported interfaces at an appropriate cadence

Connect Prediction-Market Data to Models and Dashboards

REST for Market Discovery and Data Retrieval

REST supports workflows around market discovery, individual market retrieval, historical market records, OHLCV, trades and quotes, current order books, and other supported prediction-market resources.

This works well for research scripts, forecasting pipelines, dashboards, and scheduled monitoring.

JSON-RPC for Structured Application Workflows

FinFeedAPI also provides read-only JSON-RPC access to supported Prediction Markets resources.

This can fit applications that prefer RPC-style integration for data retrieval.

MCP for AI-Assisted Forecast Research

MCP gives compatible AI applications structured access to supported Prediction Markets tools.

This can support market discovery and data retrieval while forecast interpretation remains part of the user's own methodology.

Polling for Current Data

Prediction Markets API does not provide WebSocket streaming.

Applications that need refreshed current market information can poll supported current endpoints at a cadence appropriate to their use case and data requirements.

Turn Market Data Into a Forecasting Dataset

A forecasting workflow can follow a clear sequence:

DefineIdentify the political or economic event being studied.
DiscoverFind relevant supported prediction markets.
VerifyReview the market title, outcomes, status, and contract context before comparing markets.
RetrieveCollect relevant latest and historical market data.
TraceUse OHLCV to study how market prices evolved.
ContextualizeExamine trades, quotes, and current order-book information where supported.
CompareEvaluate comparable markets across supported venues or alongside other forecasting sources.
ModelIncorporate prediction-market observations according to the forecasting methodology.
ReviewRefresh supported current data as new market observations become available.
The output is not a guaranteed forecast. It is structured market data showing how specific prediction markets priced an event under their particular contract rules, liquidity conditions, and market structure.

Add Prediction-Market Data to Your Forecasting Workflow

Use structured market discovery to find relevant contracts, historical OHLCV to study how prices changed, trades and quotes to investigate market activity, and current order-book snapshots to examine liquidity where supported.

FinFeedAPI Prediction Markets API gives forecasting teams a normalized data layer for researching political and economic expectations across supported prediction-market venues without maintaining separate integrations for each platform.